What are the common characteristics of growing churches? What are indicators of decline? Kirk Hadaway is the Episcopal Church’s chief statistician and researcher, and he has just published New FACTs on Episcopal Church Growth and Decline (do use this link; the links to the report provided at Episcopal Café and in the original press release lead to dead ends). Hadaway’s report is based on a 70% return rate from a balanced sample in 2014 and is an update to an earlier report. The new document is a gold mine of data for those who want to grow their churches.
Hadaway notes dozens of factors that affect growth and decline. I have picked six that I think are essential for churches to practice or, at least, to have considered carefully. One extraordinary factor may grow a church, but growing churches usually attend to several factors. The factors I chose are not geographically specific, nor do they depend on the leadership of the rector, which, of course, is always a substantial factor. Throughout, I assume a robust proclamation of a Nicene Christian faith ought to be part of a growing church.
1: A Kingdom road map
“Churches that are clear about why they exist and what they should be doing are most likely to be growing congregations,” says Hadaway. Put another way, churches need to be purpose-driven, with a hat off and full bow to Rick Warren. There is no substitute for a real and articulated mission that connects directly to proclaiming Christ and his Resurrection. The priest and the leadership of the parish have somewhere to go and something to say. They say it, do it, and go.
That mission is irreducibly spiritual. A church with a God-inspired mission does not involve warm gooey fellowship with candles and endless inclusion of every idea. St. Paul was clear: “I resolved to know nothing while I was with you except Christ Jesus and him crucified” (1 Cor. 2:2). Paul also was grateful for the focused gifts of the Church in Philippi to the poor of Jerusalem.
Hadaway tracks that churches with clear purposes are likely to grow. The goal is clearly laid out in public and is easy to trace by the use of leaders’ time and the use of the facilities, and most of all, the priorities of the budget. Money is a good acid test. The vestry of a church with a clear road map to mission will not argue over how to spend an undesignated bequest. It will immediately apply the money to the front edge of its mission.
So give a parish a clear goal to create a difference in a neighborhood for young people, as one of our new Hispanic parishes is doing in the Diocese of Dallas. The leaders found a way (with almost no money) to create an after school boxing program. Their teens are now winning competitions and staying free of the gangs that beleaguer that part of town. Hadaway says that 35% of growing churches agree to the statement “our congregation has a clear mission and strong purpose.”
2: The children go up front
The mission goes up front: so do the children. An all-adult cast in the sanctuary is a sign of decline. Of course, adults are more reverent and reliable, and they are usually better readers. Still, the unconscious message is that “Children need not apply.” Families with children will go elsewhere. Hadaway documents that when children are involved and visible in worship, parishes have more children and are more likely to grow.
Twenty years ago, I remember having to stop my bored acolytes from making paper airplanes behind my long-winded assistant’s back. They showed up, though, to carry the cross and serve (and play “rock-paper-scissors” during the sermon). They are now on the vestries of parishes, and one young woman is a priest. Hadaway is succinct: “among churches that never involve children [in worship], only 11% were growing and 74% were declining.” That does not mean that a parish can make young Christians by liturgy alone. Which is why …
3: Sunday School still works
Parishes that field Sunday Schools grow. Yes, Sunday Schools were nineteenth-century outreach programs to poor factory children to teach them to read. Still, an excellent Sunday school is still a good way to grow a church. For every priest or warden who has tried to recruit teachers in August’s heat, take heart!
Ancient rabbis, medieval monks, early modern Jesuits and reformers, and early Methodists all focused on the education of children. They all taught content and biblical narrative. In comparison, Episcopal Sunday School is often flaccid and inadequately biblical or theologically detailed.
Sunday School needs content and lots and lots of exposure to the big narratives of the Scriptures. To be familiar with and be articulate about both Testaments requires more than lectionary-based curricula. Children need the Creeds to shape their worldview and should learn about basic Christian faith practices like how to forgive, pray, and tithe. Only in this way will they learn how to live as Christians in a complex world that is increasingly ignorant of basic Christian concepts. If we don’t teach them the words of Christ, the world will not.
Sunday School is part of the larger process of catechesis in a post-Christian world. Hadaway has the numbers to prove it: more than one in three Episcopal churches that make Sunday school a “specialty” is growing. Alternatively, your church can join the 96% of parishes in decline that say that Sunday school is “not an emphasis.”
Churches without noisy, learning children are preparing for the grave.
4: A culture of learning for adults
The new bon mot is that American adults are “spiritual, but not religious.” It is not just the children who need to know Christ and the Scriptures. Hadaway says that congregations that offer extensive adult learning are the statistical winners. “One of the strongest correlatives of growth comes from the place that a congregation places on adult religious formation.”
Growing congregations usually have more than three educational options for adults on Sunday morning and at other times in the week. Life-long learning as a focus is essential if we want to move adults to growth as followers of Christ. A hurting world does not need worshippers with a thin Christian veneer covering their otherwise worldly habits and thoughts.
Some priests are snobs about prepackaged curricula. I used to be such a snob and wrote my own. Still, many churches grow on videos with discussion groups or programs like Disciple, EFM, or Alpha. What are the best programs to offer? Ones that feed both members and seekers: marriage enrichment, money management with a dose of Christian stewardship, and basic surveys of the Bible. Forgiveness, family, and money classes should be on most parishes’ menu. Twice a year at least, in endless loop, there needs to be a short course on basic Christian belief. It is important to have both 100 level courses and, eventually, 300-400 level courses.
The numbers are as follows: 36% of Episcopal parishes grow where adult religious education is a focus. 4% of churches grow when adult education is not a parish focus. So: teach or fold.
5: Quantify welcome and be tech savvy
A successful planter who used to be in business commented on the indifference of churches to new people in contrast to the focus that any business lavishes on potential customers. “The Church is not a business,” he says, “because if it were, it would be bankrupt.”
The best way to check your church’s capacity to grow is to count something. Start by counting the numbers of “contacts” your parish has for newcomers. New and growing churches have specific ways to reach, welcome, and follow up with visitors. It is not just that visitors are handed bulletins with a smile, it is (1) that they are invited to coffee hour, and (2) that at the coffee hour, parishioners are trained and scheduled to greet them, answer questions, and (3) invite them to upcoming events or classes. Then, (4) there should be at least three to five further follow-up contacts in the first week, a phone call, a welcome note and an email.
Hadaway says that the more “warm and multiple” ways a church has to contact visitors, the more likely it is to grow. There is an 800% difference between “no contact” and multiple personal contacts as to whether churches grow. If we do not welcome them, the angels go elsewhere (Heb. 13:2).
Hadaway connects growth to social media savvy, especially to reach younger generations. A basic attractive website is essential, with the church’s name, location, service times and contact information, and a capacity to add and change a calendar of events. Facebook and digital newsletters are critical, as are mailed paper notices for special events. It may not be sufficient to Facebook and Tweet, but it betters the odds that the Gospel will be seen and noticed.
6: Add a service, stir up the sound
A strong predictor of growth for a church is to have more than one service on Sunday morning. A single service’s numbers tend to plateau when the sanctuary space is three-quarters full. Newcomers think that there is “no space for us.” A single service has to pick a single musical and liturgical style. Many areas have some people who like “traditional” and others who like “contemporary.” A church that can welcome people to worship God in both ways can welcome more people to experience Christ’s love. Adding a service is the single easiest way to grow a church, as one can add a different musical idiom, style of worship or time slot, without disturbing the faithful who are already attending. It has to be done with forethought, excellence, and a willingness to experiment within the framework of the Book of Common Prayer.
Regions vary, but nationally, families will with children often prefer services before 10am, while singles of all ages are drawn by later services. Most Hispanic services seem fullest after 11am. In some places, Saturday or Sunday evening services work. Off Sunday morning hours attract more un-churched people. Try a new service for a season. If it works, add it to the schedule. If not, try a different time or kind of service. The willingness to try and fail is essential to grow.
Regarding services, I end with a final recommendation: if you want to grow your parish, buy drums! If the very thought of drums makes you cringe, try a string bass or something else that keeps beat. When you add a new service, use drums and music with choruses and rhythm. (This is something one of my choir directors sneered at as “cowboy music.” She is a wonderful classical musician, but her preferences can hinder the Gospel’s hearing.)
We do not need to ditch all hymns, but can we sing them with strong rhythm and beat? Since 1549, Anglicans have stressed that worship must be “in the language of the people.” That common language includes music, and for most Americans, today, music with a strong beat.
Hadaway points out that growing churches have at least one service where the worship is described as “vibrant.” Growing churches describe their worship as “fun and joyful.” He reports that over 40% of growing churches use percussion instruments most or all of the time. The next time you sit next to a loud stereo in traffic, consider the implications for an effective twenty-first century proclamation of the Gospel. Both polyphony and hymns were booed and banned when they were the new musical cutting edge in their generations.
Hadaway records decline in nearly 80% of churches that said their services were “reverent.” “Reverent” means “dying.” Personally, I prefer Bach and silence, but I know I am in the minority. I am done beating that drum.
Conclusion
If you want your church to grow, here is a six-pack of growing church characteristics backed up by data. Define how you do Kingdom work and focus on it. Buy the drums, put the kids up front often. Teach children and adults as if their lives depend on it, and welcome people and worship God in multiple ways. And, yes, use Facebook.
The featured image shows new construction at St. Paul’s Episcopal Church in Prosper, Texas. It was supplied by the author.
I identify strongly with most of these characteristics, Victoria. One point I would be sure to make in addition is that health and growth in churches is the result of good systems, not good programs. (You allude to this in a couple of places – newcomer welcome, for example). I’ve picked this up from Clay Lein and others. Everything related to a growth strategy needs to be scalable and flexible, strongly led but also easily accommodating inevitable departures of leaders, financial rearrangements, etc… For example, at my parish we went from having a paid children’s minister to having the same system run by a volunteer and we’ve continued to grow (92% ASA increase in four years). And, up to this point, we’ve done it without drums!
“Reverent” means “dying.”
“I don’t think that word means what you think it means.”
Our parish has drums (and flutes, cellos, guitars, organ, bells, violins, upright bass…) but we do reverent well as well. We also do “loud and rowdy” well. I think that a declining church means something different when the say “reverent” than what I think it means. They might mean, “We don’t do anything that might make anyone uncomfortable, make us look ‘enthusiastic’, make people think we don’t know the difference between a dessert fork and a salad fork.”
You cannot listen to the Michals in your midst (2 Sam 6:20).
Thank you, Victoria. Brava!
A few thoughts:
1. It seems to me that Episcopalians are the last people to know (and first to deny, sometimes with enviable sophistication) what is common sense to almost every other (thriving) church.
2. I don’t like what I am about to say next, but I suspect that it is rather rare to have a growing church that does not have some degree of “personality cult” with respect to the minister. I don’t say that should be cultivated or exploited, only that churches rarely grow when the congregation is lukewarm toward the minister. The future of this church depends almost exclusively on the quality of people–i.e., competence and character–ordained for ministry.The good news with respect to the “personality cult” phenomenon, is that the Queen Mary has a rudder and a coal room and could be turned around in relatively short order if its leadership were willing to be brutally honest.
3. As it concerns “drums” et al., I (reluctantly!) agree with Victoria that more of us need to get over ourselves. But I would also contend that the unchurched, under-churched, de-churched population is not so monolithic that a particular style holds the key. Excellence and mindfulness tied to an actual mission ethos — rather than mere taste — could succeed with a range of styles.
Thanks, Victoria.
To your second point, Woody: I have come around to seeing how systems are of great importance; but I am more convinced than ever (and I have been for a long time!) that the leader trumps everything. Leaders lead. Put a good leader somewhere, and it’s probably going to work (at least modestly). This is one reason I do not, in general, have a lot of sympathy for talk of faithful decline, or of blaming the denomination, the zeitgeist, etc… for a church that doesn’t grow. There are natural limiting factors to growth in certain contexts that even a great leader may have to face up to; but there is no natural impediment to growth per se. It can come off as unkind to say, but I’ll risk it: show me a church in decline, and I will show you a church that needs a leader.
Woody (et al.),
I have a fairly similar reaction: most of these are no-brainers, which is pretty much how I would characterize the good things coming out of Fresh Expressions in the CoE. But, well, our denominational brethren are not so aware of any of this. We’ll need a 100 more posts like this before we even catch up to where other denominations are on church growth.
I mean, we haven’t even had to deal with the problems that can come in the church growth movement, we’re so far behind. TEC is still in the stage of thinking: “maybe if we tinker with our beliefs, people will come streaming in.”
Of course, the other end of this is the Rachel Held Evans phenomenon: are Millennials really so in tune to “BS” that they’ll smell all this manufacturing of welcome? But, then, I note that Kirk Hadaway has not yet recommended making the clergy wear skinny jeans. (But aren’t we all wearing them already? I’m confused. Why is this an issue?)
I still need to read Evans’s most recent book, so I’m just drawing them from the numerous interviews that have popped up in the last few weeks.
Lacking a “like” button, Andrew, let me just say that I heartily agree. That is not to say that I don’t believe it is sometimes extremely hard, that I think people aren’t working hard enough or doing the best they know how, or that I, myself, would have any clue whatsoever what to do next if I were parachuted (ordained on the descent) into an aging parish of 50 people with no children, no money, and no momentum. But I believe you are still spot on. The fact is that such churches need more, not less, capable leadership.
One of the errors of the conservative / traditionalist remnant is to believe that the mainline church’s decline is attributable exclusively to theological waywardness. If that is your diagnosis, your Rx is likely to fail for hitching its wagon to a (convenient) half-truth.
This made my day.
Well, I know what I’ve got on under my cassock. Maybe that’ll be the title of my next post: “But we’re all wearing skinny jeans already!: clerical dress and the politics of dress in the thought of Rachel Held Evans.”
Woody: I would add two things to what I said. First, I completely agree that it’s super tough going for some of our clergy out there. Even real leaders find themselves mired in things that compromise their gifts. Also, there are terrible matches between leaders and people that result in such a mammoth undertaking on the leader’s part that it may be best to find someone else.
Second, our churches still need to take a hard look at why they exist and whether they should continue. A real leader (and some diocesan funds) could turn a 50 ASA place into a 100 ASA place quickly, and then settle into a 3-4% annual increase. Very nice indeed. But that same leader could possibly take a financially stable 250 ASA church and turn it into a juggernaut. Which benefits the wider Church more? I honestly don’t know which option is better (to use a non-theological term). The good news is that in the coming decade we will have plenty of opportunity to find out. We will have no choice but to throw young, enthusiastic priests into trouble spots, and if they want to make a living, their churches will have to grow…fast.
Well, here I go again wading out to the deep end without my little floaties.
The points made here are certainly timely and helpful. Moreover, they point clearly to the issues that plague the efforts of many. And soon after my cheering session claiming such great clarity, I realized that this is the jumping off point.
I agree, “Thanks, Victoria.” This is great and meaningful research. We now have clear evidence of what many have suspected to be the essence of our problem of decline. The temptation is to say that we can do better and all nod our heads. But, the response must involve more than a promise to do better or to pick ourselves up. It takes willingness to run the risk.
Every city council has a “million dollar” shelf. It is full of great ideas that cost hundreds of thousands of dollars to produce and then no one every carries the idea forward. They do not want to be kown as the one who “tried and failed.”
Our recognition of the issue must have a plan that follows for those that care. That is to say, the failure so often is not lack of caring or even willingness. It comes down to moving past the paralysis of “with no children, no money, and no momentum.”
I think that the leadership that is being discussed is the ladership that is able to set goals and also has learned to accept failure. It does not necessarily take charisma, but instead a willingness to be organized and to implement an earnest plan that even young leadership can follow.
I guess what I am saying is that we cannot wait around for charismatic leadership, but instead put to work devoted disciples who experience week in and week out teaching and training in Holy Scriptures. As Woody so often reminded me in class, “never underestimate your laity.”
Even if everything that everybody says here is spot on, there is still the question of how and what do we implement. I think we are lacking the experience of trying and sometimes failing that gives us a clearer understanding. New ideas in the church have not been tried and found wanting; they have been found difficult and not tried. (Sorry Chesterton)
My point is this, pick something, just one thing to do well and then do it. We cannot fix everything, but we can start with one thing. Failing at laudable things teaches people to fail well. If you try five things and three work well, you are a success. Let us move past paralysis.
Some one once asked me “How did you learn to remodel homes?” Me: “I started remodeling homes.” I had some failures, but I had a lot of successes.(And not to mention a lot of cool tools.)